Indios vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ORI
3 - 1
IND
30%
26%
43%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
IND
1 - 1
SAG
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
LOB
3 - 2
IND
32%
25%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
IND
4 - 3
TAM
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
MEX
3 - 1
IND
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
UAT
2 - 0
CAZ
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
CAZ
2 - 2
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
TIG
0 - 0
CAZ
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 0
JAG
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |