CF Illueca vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CFB
2 - 1
CFI
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CFI
2 - 0
CEL
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CFI
1 - 0
CFV
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CDB
2 - 1
CFI
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 3
CFI
14%
20%
65%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UDM
0 - 4
CAL
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FUE
3 - 1
UDM
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CDS
3 - 0
UDM
19%
22%
60%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
UDM
0 - 1
CDU
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CDT
3 - 0
UDM
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |