CF Hernán Cortés vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CFB
2 - 0
CFH
74%
16%
11%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CFH
0 - 2
CEL
22%
22%
56%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CFV
1 - 0
CFH
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CFH
1 - 2
CFI
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
CFH
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UDM
6 - 2
CDM
41%
25%
35%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 5
UDM
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
UDM
0 - 1
CDQ
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CDB
2 - 0
UDM
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CFB
1 - 0
UDM
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |