Fomento Castellón vs Huracan Vila Real A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fomento Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 2
MOR
41%
21%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 0
FCA
79%
12%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FCA
4 - 2
DRA
57%
19%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BOR
6 - 1
FCA
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FCA
7 - 3
XCR
62%
18%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Huracan Vila Real A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HVR
0 - 6
ESP
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DRA
2 - 0
HVR
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HVR
1 - 0
BOR
39%
23%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AND
0 - 3
HVR
51%
21%
29%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
HVR
1 - 3
NUL
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |