E. Castellon A vs Seq. Castello A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
E. Castellon A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SEM
1 - 1
EST
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
EST
4 - 0
RON
87%
9%
3%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
COS
0 - 5
EST
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
RAF
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Seq. Castello A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
5 - 1
ORP
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DRA
1 - 1
ATL
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
5 - 2
RAC
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 3
ATL
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |