Estrela da Amadora vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
ESA
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 2
FEI
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ACV
0 - 4
ESA
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
LEX
3 - 0
ESA
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 0
VAR
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
VAR
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
LEX
1 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
RIO
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 0
VIL
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
ACA
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |