Estrela da Amadora vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
ESA
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 3
ACA
47%
28%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 0
ESA
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 0
TRO
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
MAF
2 - 2
ESA
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
FAR
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEX
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 1
VAR
77%
17%
6%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |