Estrela da Amadora vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 2
ESA
75%
16%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 3
SLB
5%
15%
80%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 0
OLI
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 3
ESA
48%
26%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 1
VIL
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SLB
2 - 0
PEN
88%
9%
3%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
MOR
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 2
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
FAR
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEN
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |