Estrela da Amadora vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
72.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
BEL
0 - 1
ESA
66%
22%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
ESA
2 - 0
ORI
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ESA
2 - 0
ORI
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
REA
1 - 1
ESA
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ESA
2 - 0
LUS
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SPB
1 - 0
FAR
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
FAR
3 - 1
BOA
34%
28%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 1
FAR
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
RIO
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
3 - 3
FAM
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |