Estrela da Amadora vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
VIT
0 - 1
ESA
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ESA
3 - 2
CEL
30%
23%
48%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
EST
4 - 0
ESA
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ESA
0 - 1
AVE
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
RIO
2 - 0
ESA
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SLB
3 - 2
FEN
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SLB
1 - 4
CHL
24%
22%
55%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
SLB
1 - 0
BYM
3%
7%
91%
|
88 | 100 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
SLB
6 - 0
AUC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
BOC
2 - 2
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |