Estrela da Amadora vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
15%
79.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
18.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 0
OLI
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 3
ESA
48%
26%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 1
VIL
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAF
2 - 2
ESA
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 1
SPC
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SLB
3 - 1
GFC
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
EST
0 - 1
SLB
12%
19%
69%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
EST
1 - 5
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 6
SLB
23%
22%
55%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SLB
5 - 0
CHA
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |