Cf Cullar vs Bracana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cf Cullar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HUE
1 - 4
CFC
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 0
PMO
22%
21%
56%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 2
CFC
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 0
CFC
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 0
NAZ
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bracana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 2
ILL
71%
16%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAU
5 - 0
BRA
43%
22%
36%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 2
RAY
64%
18%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
5 - 3
BEN
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
JAY
3 - 5
BRA
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |