Cracks vs Paterna B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
70.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CFU
1 - 0
CRA
37%
22%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 2
ELI
29%
23%
49%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 2
SIL
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 0
CRA
35%
22%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 0
VAL
20%
20%
60%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paterna B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
5 - 0
SIL
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 1
PAT
14%
18%
68%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
3 - 0
VAL
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 4
PAT
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 4
BEL
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -2 |