Cracks vs Moncada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 3
CRA
19%
21%
61%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
8 - 0
RAC
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 2
CRA
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
3 - 1
ELI
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PED
2 - 0
CRA
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
ATL
64%
20%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 2
MON
9%
16%
76%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
SPO
81%
12%
6%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ELI
2 - 1
MON
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -1 |