Cracks vs A. Moncadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 3
CRA
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CRA
4 - 3
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 3
CRA
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CRA
5 - 1
SPO
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ELI
0 - 1
CRA
20%
22%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
A. Moncadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RAY
0 - 1
ATL
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
MON
24%
22%
54%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
VAL
30%
23%
47%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
ATL
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
SIL
33%
23%
43%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |