Cracks vs Bugarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
48.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 4
CRA
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 4
PED
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
CRA
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 1
PAT
12%
17%
70%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CFU
1 - 0
CRA
37%
22%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
BUG
2 - 3
RAY
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
3 - 2
BUG
58%
20%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BUG
1 - 2
LLI
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
RIB
1 - 0
BUG
46%
21%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BUG
4 - 0
LOS
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |