Alfaro B vs Yagüe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
74.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+385%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
OYO
6 - 2
CFC
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 2
NAX
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HSC
2 - 2
CFC
55%
21%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CFC
3 - 1
ALD
66%
18%
17%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
AUT
3 - 0
CFC
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
YAG
1 - 1
PRA
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
YAG
5 - 0
BER
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
OYO
2 - 4
YAG
13%
18%
69%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
YAG
3 - 0
NAX
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
HSC
2 - 2
YAG
30%
20%
50%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |