Alfaro B vs Sporting Cascajos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+129%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 1
VIL
12%
17%
72%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
CFC
77%
14%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 1
RAP
14%
18%
67%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 0
CFC
59%
20%
22%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 1
ALD
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cascajos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PRM
2 - 1
SPO
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 3
VIL
20%
19%
61%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 3
SPO
72%
15%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 1
RAP
24%
20%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 3
SPO
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |