Alfaro B vs Real Bethlehem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+129%
-93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 4
CFC
46%
20%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
CFC
4 - 3
PRM
41%
22%
37%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
VIL
6 - 0
CFC
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CFC
2 - 2
ALB
18%
19%
64%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
RAP
4 - 0
CFC
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Bethlehem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
RBF
1 - 4
SPO
17%
18%
65%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
PRM
5 - 2
RBF
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RBF
1 - 3
VIL
7%
14%
80%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 0
RBF
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
RBF
0 - 6
RAP
8%
15%
77%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | -1 |