Alfaro B vs Haro Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
63.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
COM
4 - 1
CFC
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 2
CEN
17%
21%
63%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 0
CFC
69%
17%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
PRA
3 - 1
CFC
23%
20%
58%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 1
HAR
27%
22%
52%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Haro Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 3
COM
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ILO
0 - 3
HAR
7%
13%
80%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
HAR
3 - 1
CDS
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 0
MAR
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 1
HAR
27%
22%
52%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |