Alfaro B vs Varea B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1370%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TED
4 - 2
CFC
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
RAP
3 - 0
CFC
53%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CFC
2 - 2
BAÑ
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CEN
2 - 3
CFC
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CFC
4 - 1
ALD
60%
19%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 3
BAL
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
VAR
3 - 1
MAR
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
AUT
4 - 2
VAR
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 2
AGO
34%
22%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 1
VAR
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |