Alfaro B vs CD San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 2
CFC
27%
22%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CFC
8 - 1
PRA
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
REB
1 - 0
CFC
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 2
RRI
6%
13%
81%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 0
CFC
68%
17%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CDS
0 - 1
BAL
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
6 - 0
CDS
72%
15%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CDS
1 - 5
AUT
12%
19%
69%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AGO
2 - 1
CDS
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CDS
0 - 3
HAR
12%
16%
72%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |