Alfaro B vs CD San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 3
BER
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 1
CFC
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CFC
3 - 4
YAG
11%
15%
75%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
OYO
6 - 2
CFC
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 2
NAX
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CDS
0 - 1
PRA
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
YAG
4 - 0
CDS
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CDS
0 - 1
OYO
18%
22%
61%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
NAX
1 - 2
CDS
56%
22%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CDS
1 - 2
HSC
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |