Alfaro B vs CD San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 2
CFC
11%
19%
71%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CFC
2 - 1
SDO
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NAX
2 - 2
CFC
52%
23%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CFC
3 - 0
CDT
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 0
CFC
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CDS
1 - 3
ALB
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CAV
2 - 3
CDS
14%
18%
68%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CDS
1 - 2
CAS
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CDS
1 - 3
AUT
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BAÑ
0 - 2
CDS
6%
14%
80%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |