Alfaro B vs Autol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
69.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+190%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CDB
5 - 1
CFC
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
CDS
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CFC
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TED
3 - 1
CFC
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 3
PRA
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
AUT
0 - 1
CDB
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
PRA
3 - 1
AUT
60%
20%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 2
AUT
9%
16%
75%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
AUT
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AUT
1 - 2
TED
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |