Alfaro B vs Autol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1370%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UDL
6 - 0
CFC
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 5
YAG
34%
22%
45%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
OYO
1 - 2
CFC
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
CDS
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 3
CFC
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AUT
5 - 2
YAG
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
OYO
1 - 0
AUT
40%
26%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AUT
2 - 1
CDS
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 0
AUT
30%
25%
45%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AUT
1 - 5
BER
25%
25%
50%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -2 |