Alfaro B vs Aldeano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
AUT
3 - 0
CFC
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 1
AUT
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UDL
6 - 0
CFC
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 5
YAG
34%
22%
45%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
OYO
1 - 2
CFC
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ALD
0 - 1
PRA
38%
24%
39%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CDS
2 - 1
ALD
27%
22%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ALD
2 - 1
CEN
43%
22%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BER
3 - 2
ALD
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ALD
0 - 0
CAV
43%
24%
33%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |