Chiva B vs Alumnos D. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
4.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiva B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GOD
0 - 5
CHI
15%
18%
68%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
5 - 0
CIU
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
QUA
1 - 1
CHI
40%
22%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
4 - 0
REQ
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAU
1 - 3
CHI
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alumnos D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GOD
1 - 1
ANT
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ANT
3 - 4
PAL
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
QUA
2 - 0
ANT
75%
15%
11%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CIU
0 - 1
ANT
56%
21%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 0
CAM
28%
22%
51%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +2 |