Castalla vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
53.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 0
BEN
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAS
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
MON
62%
19%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 0
CAS
67%
17%
15%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
ONI
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
UDF
1 - 2
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MON
2 - 4
UDF
8%
15%
77%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
UDF
1 - 0
BOC
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ONI
1 - 2
UDF
17%
20%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
UDF
1 - 0
RAY
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |