Castalla vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ONI
4 - 0
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
4 - 3
CAS
50%
22%
28%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 0
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
ALG
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PET
2 - 0
CAS
38%
23%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
UDF
3 - 0
AGO
79%
14%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ONI
2 - 3
UDF
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UDF
4 - 3
ELD
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
UDF
27%
23%
51%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
UDF
0 - 3
ASP
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |