Castalla vs Petrelense B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
31.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 4
ESI
15%
19%
65%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
NOV
7 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
5%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
AGO
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ELD
2 - 0
CAS
42%
23%
35%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
4 - 2
ASP
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Petrelense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ONI
3 - 1
PET
68%
18%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PET
2 - 1
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 2
PET
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PET
1 - 2
ALG
20%
21%
59%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
UDF
5 - 1
PET
85%
11%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |