Castalla vs UD La Coca Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 1
ASP
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 2
CAS
12%
14%
74%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
PEA
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ELC
1 - 2
CAS
42%
21%
37%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
ATL
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
UD La Coca Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UDL
8 - 0
NUC
79%
13%
9%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PEA
0 - 3
UDL
33%
22%
45%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 1
ELC
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
UDL
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
UDL
3 - 0
MON
55%
19%
26%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |