Castalla vs Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 5
CAS
11%
14%
75%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
BIA
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
MED
32%
21%
47%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SCA
2 - 4
CAS
26%
19%
56%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 3
PEN
26%
23%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
OBR
1 - 3
MED
20%
19%
61%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SCA
4 - 1
OBR
48%
19%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
OBR
1 - 8
PEN
18%
20%
62%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
BFL
4 - 1
OBR
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
OBR
2 - 5
ONI
25%
21%
54%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |