Castalla vs Racing San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+336%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 3
UDF
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MON
2 - 3
CAS
26%
20%
54%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
RAF
4 - 0
CAS
33%
21%
46%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
5 - 1
ALT
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAS
38%
23%
40%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RAC
3 - 2
CDC
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
RAC
2 - 0
TOR
61%
20%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HON
3 - 3
RAC
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RAC
1 - 0
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ALG
4 - 1
RAC
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -2 |