Castalla vs Peña Madridista de Ibi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
14%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
+527%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
BNY
1 - 0
CAS
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
BIA
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 3
CAS
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 1
RAY
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
NUC
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Madridista de Ibi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PEA
1 - 2
ATL
39%
23%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PET
4 - 3
PEA
66%
17%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PEA
1 - 1
ONI
19%
17%
65%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
PEA
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PEA
2 - 1
ESI
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |