Castalla vs Novelda UCF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
XIX
1 - 6
CAS
13%
16%
71%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
7 - 0
VIL
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
ATL
63%
18%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
CAS
59%
19%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ONI
1 - 1
CAS
52%
20%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NUC
3 - 2
XIX
42%
20%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 4
ATL
34%
21%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PET
5 - 0
NUC
84%
10%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 5
ONI
12%
13%
75%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
NUC
64%
18%
18%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |