Castalla vs Novelda B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+152%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CCT
2 - 1
CAS
15%
17%
68%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
BNY
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ONI
1 - 1
CAS
58%
19%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
DNA
2 - 1
CAS
50%
20%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
DNA
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
NUC
72%
16%
13%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
PEA
4 - 7
NOV
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 3
ELC
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 3
NUC
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 0
PEA
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |