Castalla vs Novelda B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+161%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NUC
4 - 1
CAS
51%
20%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
CUI
18%
19%
64%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BIA
0 - 1
CAS
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
PEA
76%
14%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
8 - 1
COC
59%
18%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
NOV
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
NUC
22%
20%
59%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CUI
0 - 0
NOV
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
BIA
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
PEA
57%
19%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |