Castalla vs Monforte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ESI
3 - 3
CAS
51%
20%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
NOV
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PEA
2 - 1
CAS
19%
18%
63%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
BNY
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BIA
1 - 4
CAS
33%
21%
46%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MON
2 - 4
ATL
51%
21%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PET
2 - 0
MON
71%
16%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
ONI
28%
20%
52%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
VIL
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ESI
4 - 1
MON
57%
19%
24%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |