Castalla vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BIA
1 - 4
CAS
3%
7%
90%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 1
AGU
67%
17%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ONI
1 - 5
CAS
4%
10%
86%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
RAY
39%
23%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
OLL
0 - 9
CAS
3%
8%
89%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
RAF
2 - 0
HON
33%
24%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 3
RAF
62%
21%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
RAF
1 - 1
MON
29%
22%
48%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
4 - 1
RAF
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
RAF
0 - 1
ATH
13%
17%
71%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |