Castalla vs Beniarres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+110%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
CAN
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 8
CAS
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ALL
1 - 3
CAS
6%
11%
83%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
BIA
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 1
CAS
30%
21%
49%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Beniarres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 2
ALB
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
AIE
1 - 1
BEN
46%
21%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
6 - 1
BNY
69%
16%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 0
CAN
69%
17%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 5
BEN
26%
23%
52%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |