Castalla vs Aspe B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
RAC
2 - 2
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
VIL
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PIN
2 - 0
CAS
54%
22%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 2
MON
34%
23%
43%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 7
UDF
19%
21%
61%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aspe B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ASP
0 - 6
ONI
23%
22%
55%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 1
ASP
33%
23%
45%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ASP
2 - 6
PEN
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
4 - 1
ASP
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ASP
2 - 0
PET
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |