CF Base Abarán vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
IMP
2 - 0
ABA
78%
16%
6%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 2
BAL
24%
25%
51%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 4
AGU
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 0
ABA
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
UCA
0 - 1
MAR
36%
26%
39%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PUL
1 - 1
UCA
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
4 - 2
UCA
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
UCA
2 - 2
IMP
34%
27%
39%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
UCA
2 - 2
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |