CF Base Abarán vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CIE
5 - 1
ABA
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CUA
4 - 1
ABA
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ABA
5 - 0
ALB
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
BUL
3 - 1
ABA
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
YEC
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
LUM
0 - 6
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAZ
18%
24%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PIN
3 - 2
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 3
UNI
22%
26%
52%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -2 |