CF Base Abarán vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
71.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
ABA
64%
21%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
ABA
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
IMP
1 - 0
ABA
80%
15%
6%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ABA
3 - 1
CDB
51%
25%
24%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 1
ABA
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
IMP
2 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PUL
3 - 0
IMP
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
IMP
3 - 2
UCA
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
IMP
2 - 0
MUR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
IMP
2 - 0
CEU
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |