CF Base Abarán vs Puente Tocinos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 0
ABA
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 4
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CIE
5 - 1
ABA
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CUA
4 - 1
ABA
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Puente Tocinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
PUT
0 - 2
YEC
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LUM
1 - 2
PUT
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PUT
1 - 0
MAZ
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
JUM
2 - 1
PUT
45%
24%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PUT
2 - 1
PUL
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |