CF Base Abarán vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JUM
2 - 1
ABA
62%
22%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ABA
1 - 2
MIN
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
YEC
6 - 1
ABA
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 0
ESP
38%
26%
37%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABA
57%
24%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 2
MAR
14%
22%
64%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PUL
0 - 1
PLU
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 2
UCA
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
IMP
1 - 1
PLU
72%
19%
9%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PLU
3 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |