CF Base Abarán vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 3
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
PUL
1 - 1
ABA
74%
16%
9%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ABA
1 - 1
MOR
13%
21%
66%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 2
ABA
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LHO
2 - 0
ABA
80%
14%
6%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PLU
0 - 2
PUL
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 3
PLU
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
PLU
2 - 1
LHO
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
PLU
2 - 0
LOR
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +3 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
PLU
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |