CF Base Abarán vs Pinatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABA
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 0
CIE
15%
21%
64%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PUT
0 - 2
ABA
68%
19%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 1
CCS
14%
22%
65%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 3
IMP
12%
20%
68%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Pinatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PIN
1 - 2
PUL
51%
24%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 2
PIN
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PIN
1 - 1
LHO
37%
25%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
PIN
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 5
PIN
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |