CF Base Abarán vs Moratalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
66.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 2
ABA
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LHO
2 - 0
ABA
80%
14%
6%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 0
FOR
30%
25%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CAL
2 - 0
ABA
61%
22%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
PIN
1 - 0
ABA
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Moratalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 2
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 3
PUL
74%
17%
10%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LHO
1 - 0
MOR
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 0
FOR
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |